Who's betting on “Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $29K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.1K by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 40% 42 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 27¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 66 points.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is chocolatepudding, with $736 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 507 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $96 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,234 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $389
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.7K on it
- 1chocolatepudding76% won of 507 · balanced$736+$17K lifetime
- 2clazzy169% won of 622 · whale$603+$27K lifetime
- 3spacegliderr29% won of 224$336−$78K lifetime
- 4cambridgeisaac57% won of 1,129 · whale$273+$67K lifetime
- 5haouibao98% won of 90$154−$196 lifetime
No$389 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$96+$255K lifetime
- 2SpringlyFawl34% won of 14,873 · noise$25+$27K lifetime
- 30x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F27% won of 15,727$25−$81K lifetime
- 4Majas29% won of 25,157$24−$24K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$21−$217K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 77 of them. The largest Yes holder is chocolatepudding, with $736 on it, $17K lifetime profit over 507 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $96 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,234 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 74¢ and No at 27¢, a 74% implied chance of Yes. $29K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 40% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 66 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.