Who's betting on “Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?”?
Weather · $293K volume · Ends January 8, 2027 · Updated October 3, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $293K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
89% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 42 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
129 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 129 of them.
- Smart money share
- 89%
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $5.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 48%
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $927
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?"?
129 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 129 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 20¢ and No at 81¢, an 81% implied chance of No. $293K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 42 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.