Who's betting on “Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?”?
Weather · $70K volume · Ends January 8, 2027 · Updated October 21, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
53% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
124 wallets hold a position worth $898 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 124 of them.
- Smart money share
- 53%
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $330
- Holders' winrate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 55%
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $567
- Holders' winrate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?"?
124 wallets hold a position worth $898 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 124 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $70K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 8, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 8, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.