Who's betting on “Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $86K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.7K by 102 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 44% 62 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
The smart money
44% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 45 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
Who holds it
102 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is eNakeVets, with $345 on it, $63K lifetime loss over 1,031 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is ScottyNooo, with $2.7K on it, $904K lifetime profit over 1,596 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $5.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.3K on it
- 1eNakeVets53% won of 1,031$345−$63K lifetime
- 2ra1nmak3r100% won of 14$330−$1.3K lifetime
- 30x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-175947098161649% won of 724 · whale$247+$120K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$122+$335K lifetime
- 5ZePenguin45% won of 82 · noise$71+$1.5K lifetime
No$5.4K on it
- 1ScottyNooo48% won of 1,596 · whale$2.7K+$904K lifetime
- 2BetterFish61% won of 740 · whale$924+$35K lifetime
- 3Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$453+$154K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$355+$829K lifetime
- 5purplegatto73% won of 3,515$313−$1.9M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?"?
102 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is eNakeVets, with $345 on it, $63K lifetime loss over 1,031 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is ScottyNooo, with $2.7K on it, $904K lifetime profit over 1,596 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
44% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 45 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.