Who's betting on “Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $68K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 167 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 93 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 74 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
Who holds it
167 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $3.4K on it, $904K lifetime profit over 1,596 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $66 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $271
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$14K on it
- 1ScottyNooo48% won of 1,596 · whale$3.4K+$904K lifetime
- 2FlyingPlaty100% won of 1,115$2.0K−$266K lifetime
- 3Breezy-Entrance46% won of 213 · noise$1.8K+$47K lifetime
- 4RobotGamma50% won of 20$923−$332 lifetime
- 5BetterFish61% won of 740 · whale$697+$35K lifetime
No$271 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$66+$48K lifetime
- 20x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-175947098161649% won of 724 · whale$58+$120K lifetime
- 3bimaw61% won of 18$18+$4.2K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$17+$254K lifetime
- 588mnm88100% won of 215 · whale$12+$12K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?"?
167 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 167 of them. The largest Yes holder is ScottyNooo, with $3.4K on it, $904K lifetime profit over 1,596 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $66 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on February 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on February 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.