Who's betting on “Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $286K traded all time
- Held now
- $46K by 186 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 116 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 46% 69 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $286K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
Who holds it
186 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 185 of them. The largest Yes holder is chivoexpiatorio, with $25 on it, $9.2K lifetime profit over 62 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is randomlypunting, with $10K on it, $90K lifetime loss over 1,053 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 117
- Money on it
- $231
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 69
- Money on it
- $46K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$231 on it
- 1chivoexpiatorio48% won of 62 · noise$25+$9.2K lifetime
- 2gods-eye59% won of 32 · balanced$22+$12K lifetime
- 3TitanRTX46% won of 24 · noise$18+$2.3K lifetime
- 4Nadmi35% won of 1,251 · noise$15+$154K lifetime
- 5meagainsttheworld76% won of 1,058 · whale$13+$142K lifetime
No$46K on it
- 1randomlypunting68% won of 1,053$10K−$90K lifetime
- 2Vanquish82% won of 287$9.1K−$820 lifetime
- 3Warren-Buffett68% won of 1,051 · whale$8.2K+$127K lifetime
- 4johnnyA72% won of 888 · whale$7.1K+$25K lifetime
- 5cookie9676% won of 68$2.7K−$21K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
2 more- December 31$13K vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- September 30$222K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?"?
186 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 185 of them. The largest Yes holder is chivoexpiatorio, with $25 on it, $9.2K lifetime profit over 62 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is randomlypunting, with $10K on it, $90K lifetime loss over 1,053 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $286K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 46% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.