Who's betting on “Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?”?
Smart money leans No: 85% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 75 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 39 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 85% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
75 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is TitanRTX, with $241 on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 24 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Tenebrus7, with $1.0K on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,613 markets (66% won).
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $790
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$790 on it
- 1TitanRTX46% won of 24 · noise$241+$2.3K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$189+$334K lifetime
- 3GammaSqueeze123454% won of 110$92−$182 lifetime
- 4youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$89−$6.5K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$40+$255K lifetime
No$3.6K on it
- 1Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$1.0K+$154K lifetime
- 2ourdemocracy279% won of 550 · whale$820+$6.6K lifetime
- 3pagliacci493% won of 1,552$401−$15K lifetime
- 4Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$372+$1.5M lifetime
- 5zxdfbdfgngcxv77% won of 1,234 · whale$328+$83K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
2 more- October 31$286K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$222K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is TitanRTX, with $241 on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 24 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is Tenebrus7, with $1.0K on it, $154K lifetime profit over 1,613 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 85% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.