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Who's betting on “Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?”?

Politics$19K traded34 holdersEnds November 1, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
8%Yes🧠 smart money
92%No

Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 53 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$19K
traded all time
Held now
$502
by 34 wallets
Smart share · Yes
89%
16 scored holders
Smart share · No
36%
18 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

The smart money

89% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.

Who holds it

34 wallets hold a position worth $502 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them.

Yes8%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share89% ▲ 7 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 82%a day ago 82%now 89%
Holders
16
Money on it
$40
Holders' win rate
41%
No92%
Smart money share36% ▼ 34 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 71%a day ago 71%now 36%
Holders
18
Money on it
$462
Holders' win rate
74%
Free on Polkyo

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?"?

34 wallets hold a position worth $502 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 34 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

89% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 53 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.