Who's betting on “Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.0K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 79% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
79% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is kittycat67, with $265 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 303 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d, with $790 on it, $31K lifetime profit over 312 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $61 on Yes.
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $61
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.0K on it
- 1kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$265+$1.5K lifetime
- 2wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$256+$4.2K lifetime
- 3lineth67% won of 662 · whale$163+$91K lifetime
- 4leectram282% won of 776$100−$646 lifetime
- 5singularityman76% won of 360 · sniper$61+$78K lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 10xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d65% won of 312 · whale$790+$31K lifetime
- 2Akatosh63% won of 103 · balanced$408+$953 lifetime
- 3PumpThePompey52% won of 259 · whale$379+$18K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$146+$28K lifetime
- 5bubububblebutt88% won of 837$133−$870 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $3.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is kittycat67, with $265 on it, $1.5K lifetime profit over 303 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d, with $790 on it, $31K lifetime profit over 312 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 35¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
79% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 12 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.