Who's betting on “Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.7K by 84 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 58% 49 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 10, 2026.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
Who holds it
84 wallets hold a position worth $7.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is podairpod, with $3.3K on it, $26K lifetime profit over 821 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $33 on it, $53K lifetime loss over 49,325 markets (46% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $87 on Yes.
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $7.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 1 · $87
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $155
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$7.5K on it
- 1podairpod61% won of 821 · whale$3.3K+$26K lifetime
- 20x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,331 · whale$1.6K+$64K lifetime
- 3Whywix74% won of 203 · balanced$411+$1.7K lifetime
- 4art36986483% won of 23$302−$13K lifetime
- 5haouibao98% won of 90$282−$196 lifetime
No$155 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,325$33−$53K lifetime
- 23iron68% won of 190 · balanced$21+$5.3K lifetime
- 3rocky4201850% won of 755$17−$26K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$15+$254K lifetime
- 5Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$12+$44K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Swiss National Bank decision in December?
1 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money split
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.8M vol.Yes 77%No 24%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.0M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?"?
84 wallets hold a position worth $7.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 84 of them. The largest Yes holder is podairpod, with $3.3K on it, $26K lifetime profit over 821 markets (61% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $33 on it, $53K lifetime loss over 49,325 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 10, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 58% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 10, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.