Who's betting on “Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?”?
Smart money leans No: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 16 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $33K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.0K by 81 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 10, 2026.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
81 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is aghy, with $530 on it, $195K lifetime profit over 11 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $1.0K on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won).
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $1.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 40%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.0K on it
- 1aghy36% won of 11$530+$195K lifetime
- 20x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,315 · whale$183+$64K lifetime
- 3carpe-noctem74% won of 295$97−$5.0K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$48−$378K lifetime
- 5haouibao98% won of 90$31−$196 lifetime
No$3.0K on it
- 1donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$1.0K+$829K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$703+$335K lifetime
- 3variant1.meta65% won of 248 · balanced$417+$5.8K lifetime
- 4mariacryptoss57% won of 51 · balanced$346+$352 lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,301$116−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Swiss National Bank decision in December?
1 moreOther big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$959K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?"?
81 wallets hold a position worth $4.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 81 of them. The largest Yes holder is aghy, with $530 on it, $195K lifetime profit over 11 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is donthackme, with $1.0K on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $33K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 10, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 10, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.