Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $141K traded all time
- Held now
- $42K by 274 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 164 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 109 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $141K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
Who holds it
274 wallets hold a position worth $42K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 273 of them. The largest Yes holder is flawfence, with $11K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 499 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x8bf8…b49b, with $1.1K on it, $1 lifetime profit.
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $530 on Yes.
- Holders
- 165
- Money on it
- $36K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 1 · $530
- Holders
- 109
- Money on it
- $6.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$36K on it
- 1flawfence75% won of 499 · whale$11K+$1.1M lifetime
- 2wan12379% won of 289 · whale$7.0K+$1.2M lifetime
- 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,606$2.4K−$8.2K lifetime
- 4Vespuccii60% won of 255$2.3K−$2.7K lifetime
- 5Ryxon2181% won of 607 · whale$2.3K+$139K lifetime
No$6.2K on it
- 10x8bf8…b49bno record yet$1.1K+$1 lifetime
- 2ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$967+$2.3M lifetime
- 3anciano48% won of 1,252 · whale$712+$37K lifetime
- 4Anononono48% won of 241$450−$1.4K lifetime
- 5ScottyNooo48% won of 1,596 · whale$382+$904K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Vermont Governor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?"?
274 wallets hold a position worth $42K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 273 of them. The largest Yes holder is flawfence, with $11K on it, $1.1M lifetime profit over 499 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is 0x8bf8…b49b, with $1.1K on it, $1 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 78¢ and No at 23¢, a 78% implied chance of Yes. $141K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.