Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $154K traded all time
- Held now
- $28K by 211 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 56% 121 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 78% 90 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $154K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
56% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
Who holds it
211 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 211 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $1.2K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is wan123, with $6.4K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 289 markets (79% won).
- Holders
- 121
- Money on it
- $9.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 90
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$9.5K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$1.2K−$4.7M lifetime
- 20x39FD7f7e5d025a0C442CB89a773F314F81807D31-176349145368481% won of 244 · balanced$1.2K+$2.5K lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,072$780−$427K lifetime
- 4ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$657+$2.3M lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 48,939$531−$50K lifetime
No$19K on it
- 1wan12379% won of 289 · whale$6.4K+$1.2M lifetime
- 2flawfence75% won of 499 · whale$4.4K+$1.1M lifetime
- 3Lehamous43% won of 7$1.2K−$265 lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,861 · whale$921+$163K lifetime
- 5SeanEleven56% won of 374$880−$2.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Vermont Governor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?"?
211 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 211 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $1.2K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is wan123, with $6.4K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 289 markets (79% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 22¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $154K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 22 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 24 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.