Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $40K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 121 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 74 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
Who holds it
121 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188, with $4.0K on it, $137 lifetime loss over 125 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is bernardbulletin, with $267 on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,126 markets (75% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $937 on Yes.
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $937
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $488
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$15K on it
- 10xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$4.0K−$137 lifetime
- 2LR171% won of 216 · whale$1.1K+$13K lifetime
- 3lihpare82% won of 1,013 · whale$1.1K+$5.0K lifetime
- 4Eatpraylove62% won of 1,052 · whale$952+$519K lifetime
- 5TheFOMCGambler74% won of 184 · sniper$937+$20K lifetime
No$488 on it
- 1bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$267+$198K lifetime
- 2conherence75% won of 415 · balanced$39+$3.6K lifetime
- 3QuteAnon34% won of 235$29−$22K lifetime
- 4AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,861 · whale$16+$393K lifetime
- 5RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$16+$9.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?"?
121 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 121 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-1786041153188, with $4.0K on it, $137 lifetime loss over 125 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is bernardbulletin, with $267 on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,126 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.