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Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?”?

Politics$18K traded36 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes
100%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 55 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$18K
traded all time
Held now
$174
by 36 wallets
Smart share · Yes
40%
25 scored holders
Smart share · No
95%
11 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

40% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.

Who holds it

36 wallets hold a position worth $174 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $2 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is immanuelcan, with $107 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 1,011 markets (78% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share40%
7 days ago 40%a day ago 40%now 40%
Holders
25
Money on it
$9
Holders' win rate
35%
No100%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share95%
7 days ago 94%a day ago 95%now 95%
Holders
11
Money on it
$165
Holders' win rate
82%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$9 on it

  1. 1Perypery30% won of 473 · noise$2+$44K lifetime
  2. 2Digital-Boy16% won of 2,232$2−$78K lifetime
  3. 3NimbleBanana1317no record yet$2−$14 lifetime
  4. 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$1−$378K lifetime
  5. 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$1−$485K lifetime

No$165 on it

  1. 1immanuelcan78% won of 1,011 · whale$107+$39K lifetime
  2. 2FrankGrimes94% won of 169 · grinder$37+$81 lifetime
  3. 3cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$11+$72K lifetime
  4. 4ndasmdsam94% won of 99$6−$57 lifetime
  5. 50x539b…c64f99% won of 558 · grinder$1+$75 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?"?

36 wallets hold a position worth $174 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 36 of them. The largest Yes holder is Perypery, with $2 on it, $44K lifetime profit over 473 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is immanuelcan, with $107 on it, $39K lifetime profit over 1,011 markets (78% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

40% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 55 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.