Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $63K traded all time
- Held now
- $15K by 139 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 38% 75 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 71% 64 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $63K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
38% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
Who holds it
139 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $731 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,298 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is flexibleagedbeef, with $2.1K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 11 markets (91% won).
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.1K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,298$731−$52K lifetime
- 2resfeber42% won of 1,607$635−$10.0K lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,109$358−$433K lifetime
- 4Snarfsnarfsnarf0% won of 1$271−$33K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$255+$127K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 1flexibleagedbeef91% won of 11$2.1K+$2.3K lifetime
- 2HotDogs93% won of 617 · whale$1.5K+$21K lifetime
- 3Nicksypoo94% won of 225$1.3K−$17K lifetime
- 4Magician534287% won of 351 · grinder$861+$1.8K lifetime
- 5Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$835+$127K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oregon Governor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?"?
139 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 139 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $731 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,298 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is flexibleagedbeef, with $2.1K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 11 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $63K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
38% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 33 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.