Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $67K traded all time
- Held now
- $23K by 152 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 59% 88 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 45% 64 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
59% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
152 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 152 of them. The largest Yes holder is NotHarrisonHohman, with $5.3K on it, $785 lifetime profit over 8 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $408 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $41 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $50 on No.
- Holders
- 88
- Money on it
- $21K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
- Snipers
- 1 · $41
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 1 · $50
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$21K on it
- 1NotHarrisonHohman88% won of 8$5.3K+$785 lifetime
- 2Aged-Odometerno record yet$3.9K+$0 lifetime
- 3HotDogs93% won of 617 · whale$1.6K+$21K lifetime
- 4ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$1.4K+$2.3M lifetime
- 5Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$932+$127K lifetime
No$2.4K on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$408+$127K lifetime
- 2Snarfsnarfsnarf0% won of 1$385−$33K lifetime
- 3resfeber42% won of 1,607$278−$10.0K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,227$233−$49K lifetime
- 5ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$177−$1.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Oregon Governor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?"?
152 wallets hold a position worth $23K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 152 of them. The largest Yes holder is NotHarrisonHohman, with $5.3K on it, $785 lifetime profit over 8 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $408 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $67K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
59% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.