Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $139K traded all time
- Held now
- $37K by 192 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 46% 118 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 73 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $139K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
46% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
Who holds it
192 wallets hold a position worth $37K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 191 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $324 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is SAPolitcsSeer, with $20K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 83 markets (92% won).
- Holders
- 119
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $35K
- Holders' win rate
- 89%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.6K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$324−$4.7M lifetime
- 2ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$198+$2.3M lifetime
- 3Valen962% won of 900 · whale$123+$231K lifetime
- 4purplegatto73% won of 3,495$93−$1.9M lifetime
- 5nigiri9947% won of 16,421$90−$1.1M lifetime
No$35K on it
- 1SAPolitcsSeer92% won of 83 · whale$20K+$64K lifetime
- 2BuddhaYTorrance98% won of 87 · whale$4.9K+$61K lifetime
- 3MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$2.8K+$38K lifetime
- 4gopfan279% won of 1,014 · whale$1.6K+$1.7M lifetime
- 5TTdes84% won of 904 · whale$839+$157K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in North Carolina Senate Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?"?
192 wallets hold a position worth $37K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 191 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $324 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is SAPolitcsSeer, with $20K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 83 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $139K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
46% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 47 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.