Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 46 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $146K traded all time
- Held now
- $89K by 237 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 140 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 36% 96 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $146K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
Who holds it
237 wallets hold a position worth $89K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 236 of them. The largest Yes holder is SirHarryOakes, with $15K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 300 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $573 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 141
- Money on it
- $87K
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
- Holders
- 96
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$87K on it
- 1SirHarryOakes81% won of 300 · whale$15K+$47K lifetime
- 2BuddhaYTorrance98% won of 87 · whale$14K+$61K lifetime
- 3FDTpuissance97% won of 58 · balanced$10K+$25K lifetime
- 40xc5c3…2c66no record yet$8.3K
- 5sherrone-moreno record yet$7.8K−$23K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in North Carolina Senate Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?"?
237 wallets hold a position worth $89K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 236 of them. The largest Yes holder is SirHarryOakes, with $15K on it, $47K lifetime profit over 300 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $573 on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $146K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.