Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 55 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $210K traded all time
- Held now
- $90K by 198 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 36% 78 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 120 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $210K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
36% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.
Who holds it
198 wallets hold a position worth $90K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 198 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $1.2K on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,298 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is AngryRhino, with $25K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $107 on No.
- Holders
- 78
- Money on it
- $4.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 120
- Money on it
- $86K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 1 · $107
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.4K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,298$1.2K−$52K lifetime
- 2sourdough420no record yet$598+$0 lifetime
- 3ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$597+$2.3M lifetime
- 4tiduspercivalez100% won of 1$408+$2.6K lifetime
- 50xa0f2…184842% won of 2,583$343−$3.5M lifetime
No$86K on it
- 1AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$25K+$25K lifetime
- 2Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$21K+$127K lifetime
- 3Trump202887% won of 505 · whale$8.0K+$360K lifetime
- 4Shady-Tool80% won of 578$6.5K−$34K lifetime
- 5HerlihyM9257% won of 534 · whale$5.5K+$39K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?"?
198 wallets hold a position worth $90K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 198 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $1.2K on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,298 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is AngryRhino, with $25K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $210K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
36% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 53 points. A week ago, No by 59 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.