Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 47 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $149K traded all time
- Held now
- $96K by 215 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 159 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 48% 56 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $149K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
Who holds it
215 wallets hold a position worth $96K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 215 of them. The largest Yes holder is elmcap2, with $20K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $390 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,151 markets (46% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $833 on Yes.
- Holders
- 159
- Money on it
- $94K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 1 · $833
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$94K on it
- 1elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$20K+$2.1M lifetime
- 2Trump202887% won of 505 · whale$11K+$360K lifetime
- 3Vilgefortz73% won of 377 · whale$10K+$348K lifetime
- 4dzsibenaja88% won of 222 · whale$7.8K+$130K lifetime
- 5HerlihyM9257% won of 534 · whale$5.5K+$39K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,151$390−$48K lifetime
- 2Bertapotamous85% won of 1,036 · whale$305+$250K lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,107$192−$433K lifetime
- 4tiduspercivalez100% won of 1$136+$2.6K lifetime
- 5Zohar1992100% won of 1$93+$20 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in New York Governor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?"?
215 wallets hold a position worth $96K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 215 of them. The largest Yes holder is elmcap2, with $20K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $390 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,151 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 97¢ and No at 3¢, a 97% implied chance of Yes. $149K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 47 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 34 points. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.