Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 59 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.3K by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 27% 33 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 37 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
27% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $44 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is probability, with $1.9K on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,349 markets (31% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $108
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $5.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$108 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,301$44−$52K lifetime
- 2ABC1234565432148% won of 6,025$12−$1.3K lifetime
- 3dips.47% won of 26,593 · whale$8+$14K lifetime
- 4Ernie-28783% won of 143$8−$6.1K lifetime
- 5FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$6−$7.0K lifetime
No$5.1K on it
- 1probability31% won of 3,349 · noise$1.9K+$118K lifetime
- 2zzzx281% won of 949 · whale$1.6K+$20K lifetime
- 3eNakeVets53% won of 1,031$609−$63K lifetime
- 4TylerTurden89% won of 940 · whale$331+$173K lifetime
- 5D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$254+$85K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $44 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,301 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is probability, with $1.9K on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,349 markets (31% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
27% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 59 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 59 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.