Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 70% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.3K by 96 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 25 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
Who holds it
96 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is elmcap2, with $1.1K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $18 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $246 on Yes.
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 1 · $246
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $69
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.2K on it
No$69 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$18+$48K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$12+$129K lifetime
- 3bunnythumper38% won of 32$8−$624 lifetime
- 4ABC1234565432148% won of 6,025$6−$1.3K lifetime
- 50x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310767% won of 1,998 · whale$6+$101K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in New Jersey Senate Election Winner
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?"?
96 wallets hold a position worth $5.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 96 of them. The largest Yes holder is elmcap2, with $1.1K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $18 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.