Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?”?

Politics$231K traded172 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
9%Yes
92%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$231K
traded all time
Held now
$45K
by 172 wallets
Smart share · Yes
39%
91 scored holders
Smart share · No
81%
80 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $231K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

39% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.

Who holds it

172 wallets hold a position worth $45K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 171 of them. The largest Yes holder is ClauseAI, with $4.0K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Do-Not-Redeem, with $13K on it, $342K lifetime profit over 1,101 markets (72% won).

Yes9%
Smart money share39% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 34%a day ago 37%now 39%
Holders
91
Money on it
$9.7K
Holders' win rate
67%
No92%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share81% ▲ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 73%a day ago 78%now 81%
Holders
81
Money on it
$35K
Holders' win rate
65%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$9.7K on it

  1. 1ClauseAIno record yet$4.0K+$0 lifetime
  2. 2PetuniaPettigrew88% won of 8$2.1K+$28K lifetime
  3. 3Gaditima49% won of 12,083$564−$426K lifetime
  4. 40x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310766% won of 1,988 · whale$417+$101K lifetime
  5. 5cigarettes46% won of 48,975$403−$50K lifetime

No$35K on it

  1. 1Do-Not-Redeem72% won of 1,101 · whale$13K+$342K lifetime
  2. 2ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$5.2K+$313K lifetime
  3. 30xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac872% won of 93$4.5K−$124K lifetime
  4. 4456ythgbvcadscvb67% won of 1,037 · whale$1.8K+$208K lifetime
  5. 5SquirrelTheMerchant67% won of 288 · whale$1.4K+$69K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
Free on Polkyo

See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

More markets in New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

1 more
Who's betting on New Hampshire Senate Election Winner →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?"?

172 wallets hold a position worth $45K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 171 of them. The largest Yes holder is ClauseAI, with $4.0K on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is Do-Not-Redeem, with $13K on it, $342K lifetime profit over 1,101 markets (72% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $231K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

39% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.