Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $277K traded all time
- Held now
- $151K by 307 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 204 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 100 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $277K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
Who holds it
307 wallets hold a position worth $151K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 304 of them. The largest Yes holder is scottilicious, with $17K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,012 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is PetuniaPettigrew, with $2.0K on it, $28K lifetime profit over 8 markets (88% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $64 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $147 on No.
- Holders
- 207
- Money on it
- $143K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
- Snipers
- 1 · $64
- Holders
- 100
- Money on it
- $8.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 1 · $147
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$143K on it
- 1scottilicious83% won of 1,012 · whale$17K+$1.5M lifetime
- 2dzsibenaja88% won of 222 · whale$14K+$130K lifetime
- 3Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$12K+$127K lifetime
- 40xc5c3…2c66no record yet$11K
- 5SAPolitcsSeer92% won of 83 · whale$10K+$64K lifetime
No$8.4K on it
- 1PetuniaPettigrew88% won of 8$2.0K+$28K lifetime
- 2fullamount77% won of 30$900−$2.5K lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,083$786−$426K lifetime
- 4M88869% won of 1,027 · whale$739+$255K lifetime
- 5alpheclabs50% won of 15,281$672−$979K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?"?
307 wallets hold a position worth $151K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 304 of them. The largest Yes holder is scottilicious, with $17K on it, $1.5M lifetime profit over 1,012 markets (83% won). The largest No holder is PetuniaPettigrew, with $2.0K on it, $28K lifetime profit over 8 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 8¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $277K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.