Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $168K traded all time
- Held now
- $82K by 208 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 126 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 61% 80 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 13¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $168K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
Who holds it
208 wallets hold a position worth $82K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 206 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $39K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 666 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $4.2K on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,839 markets (70% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $741 on Yes.
- Holders
- 127
- Money on it
- $72K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
- Snipers
- 1 · $741
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $9.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$72K on it
- 1BreakTheBank88% won of 666 · whale$39K+$11M lifetime
- 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$6.1K−$59K lifetime
- 3AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$4.4K+$25K lifetime
- 4Tomekyy76% won of 54$3.2K−$9.0K lifetime
- 5lug55% won of 1,250 · whale$2.6K+$62K lifetime
No$9.4K on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,839 · whale$4.2K+$422K lifetime
- 2lastminwin56% won of 9$3.1K−$87K lifetime
- 3bostezo46% won of 127 · noise$553+$5.1K lifetime
- 4dips.47% won of 26,432 · whale$276+$7.6K lifetime
- 50xa0f2…184842% won of 2,574$162−$3.5M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Montana Senate Election Winner
2 more- Alani Bankhead (D)$50K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Independent$40K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?"?
208 wallets hold a position worth $82K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 206 of them. The largest Yes holder is BreakTheBank, with $39K on it, $11M lifetime profit over 666 markets (88% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $4.2K on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,839 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 88¢ and No at 13¢, an 88% implied chance of Yes. $168K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.