Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $50K traded all time
- Held now
- $882 by 93 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 57% 72 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 21 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
57% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
Who holds it
93 wallets hold a position worth $882 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $3 on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $554 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $12
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 21
- Money on it
- $870
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12 on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,107$3−$432K lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$2+$27K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$2+$127K lifetime
- 4AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,844 · whale$1+$422K lifetime
- 5FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$1−$7.0K lifetime
No$870 on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$554+$2.3M lifetime
- 2immanuelcan78% won of 1,011 · whale$131+$39K lifetime
- 3MarcTwixxx76% won of 21$50−$165 lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,197$30−$49K lifetime
- 50x3653235d75A0d5969C42f7514d4Df8eA5F8CEF74-17788118175798% won of 32,274 · noise$21+$27K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Montana Senate Election Winner
2 more- Kurt Alme (R) $169K vol.Yes 88%No 13%Smart money: Yes
- Independent$40K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?"?
93 wallets hold a position worth $882 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 93 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $3 on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,107 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $554 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $50K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
57% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.