Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 67 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $216K traded all time
- Held now
- $92K by 261 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 27% 114 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 144 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $216K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
27% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 68 points. A week ago, No by 61 points.
Who holds it
261 wallets hold a position worth $92K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 258 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $2.5K on it, $50K lifetime loss over 48,950 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0x4488…e319, with $13K on it, $992K lifetime profit over 1,229 markets (54% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.0K on No.
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 146
- Money on it
- $79K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.0K
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 48,950$2.5K−$50K lifetime
- 2MMH625% won of 4$1.5K−$1.3K lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,083$926−$426K lifetime
- 4MLJBASEBALL98% won of 112 · balanced$886+$23K lifetime
- 5username1333% won of 3$720−$3.1K lifetime
No$79K on it
- 10x4488…e31954% won of 1,229 · whale$13K+$992K lifetime
- 2Magician534287% won of 351 · grinder$9.5K+$1.8K lifetime
- 3RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$9.0K+$819K lifetime
- 4cocococococo54% won of 1,415 · whale$5.2K+$107K lifetime
- 5scottilicious83% won of 1,012 · whale$4.5K+$1.5M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Minnesota Senate Election Winner
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?"?
261 wallets hold a position worth $92K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 258 of them. The largest Yes holder is cigarettes, with $2.5K on it, $50K lifetime loss over 48,950 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0x4488…e319, with $13K on it, $992K lifetime profit over 1,229 markets (54% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $216K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
27% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 68 points. A week ago, No by 61 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.