Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $285K traded all time
- Held now
- $181K by 352 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 236 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 31% 114 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 91¢ and No at 9¢, a 91% implied chance of Yes. $285K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 42 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
Who holds it
352 wallets hold a position worth $181K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 350 of them. The largest Yes holder is DOF2, with $16K on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.5K on it, $431K lifetime loss over 12,103 markets (49% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.3K on Yes.
- Holders
- 237
- Money on it
- $169K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.3K
- Holders
- 115
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$169K on it
- 1DOF2100% won of 2$16K−$1.6K lifetime
- 20x4488…e31954% won of 1,229 · whale$12K+$992K lifetime
- 3Vaultonchain0% won of 2$9.5K−$5.7K lifetime
- 4SAPolitcsSeer92% won of 83 · whale$9.1K+$64K lifetime
- 5HongKongMenace93% won of 54 · whale$7.3K+$54K lifetime
No$12K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,103$1.5K−$431K lifetime
- 2MMH625% won of 4$1.3K−$1.3K lifetime
- 3dips.47% won of 26,384 · whale$1.2K+$7.6K lifetime
- 4Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$1.1K−$59K lifetime
- 5AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,827 · whale$972+$417K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Minnesota Senate Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?"?
352 wallets hold a position worth $181K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 350 of them. The largest Yes holder is DOF2, with $16K on it, $1.6K lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $1.5K on it, $431K lifetime loss over 12,103 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 91¢ and No at 9¢, a 91% implied chance of Yes. $285K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 31% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 42 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.