Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $273K traded all time
- Held now
- $41K by 239 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 67% 146 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 93 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $273K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
67% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
Who holds it
239 wallets hold a position worth $41K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 239 of them. The largest Yes holder is AnonymousUsername, with $2.1K on it, $412K lifetime profit over 5,855 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is SAPolitcsSeer, with $30K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 83 markets (92% won).
- Holders
- 146
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $37K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.8K on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,855 · whale$2.1K+$412K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,227$678−$49K lifetime
- 30x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310767% won of 1,995 · whale$343+$101K lifetime
- 4BobbyBakedBeans42% won of 4,648 · whale$174+$25K lifetime
- 5resfeber42% won of 1,607$144−$10.0K lifetime
No$37K on it
- 1SAPolitcsSeer92% won of 83 · whale$30K+$64K lifetime
- 20x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$1.7K+$36K lifetime
- 3anciano49% won of 1,299 · whale$791+$37K lifetime
- 4XavierPowers305252% won of 143 · balanced$463+$2.3K lifetime
- 50x096e…9c9c100% won of 7$334+$2.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Michigan Governor Election Winner
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?"?
239 wallets hold a position worth $41K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 239 of them. The largest Yes holder is AnonymousUsername, with $2.1K on it, $412K lifetime profit over 5,855 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is SAPolitcsSeer, with $30K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 83 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $273K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 29 points. A week ago, No by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.