Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 78% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $211K traded all time
- Held now
- $103K by 239 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 78% 112 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 127 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $211K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
78% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
Who holds it
239 wallets hold a position worth $103K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 239 of them. The largest Yes holder is BuddhaYTorrance, with $30K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 87 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $734 on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,844 markets (70% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $84 on Yes.
- Holders
- 112
- Money on it
- $99K
- Holders' win rate
- 92%
- Snipers
- 1 · $84
- Holders
- 127
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$99K on it
- 1BuddhaYTorrance98% won of 87 · whale$30K+$61K lifetime
- 2SAPolitcsSeer92% won of 83 · whale$22K+$64K lifetime
- 3JerryFloydno record yet$10K+$0 lifetime
- 4danypotter100% won of 50 · balanced$9.9K+$22K lifetime
- 5DavidxDavidno record yet$5.6K+$0 lifetime
No$3.8K on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,844 · whale$734+$422K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,151$466−$48K lifetime
- 3ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$416+$2.3M lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$205+$829K lifetime
- 5variant1.meta65% won of 248 · balanced$201+$5.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Michigan Governor Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?"?
239 wallets hold a position worth $103K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 239 of them. The largest Yes holder is BuddhaYTorrance, with $30K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 87 markets (98% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $734 on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,844 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 6¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $211K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.