Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.6K by 75 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 47% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
47% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
Who holds it
75 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is purplegatto, with $57 on it, $1.9M lifetime loss over 3,495 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is probability, with $872 on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,325 markets (31% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $261
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$261 on it
- 1purplegatto73% won of 3,495$57−$1.9M lifetime
- 2oliman264% won of 1,228 · whale$56+$106K lifetime
- 3cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$22+$72K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,151$20−$48K lifetime
- 5ABC1234565432148% won of 5,905$20−$1.2K lifetime
No$3.3K on it
- 1probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$872+$118K lifetime
- 2ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$837+$2.3M lifetime
- 3QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$553+$57K lifetime
- 4Ryxon2181% won of 609 · whale$416+$133K lifetime
- 5LBZero47% won of 1,012$152−$26K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $3.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is purplegatto, with $57 on it, $1.9M lifetime loss over 3,495 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is probability, with $872 on it, $118K lifetime profit over 3,325 markets (31% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
47% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 39 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.