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Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?”?

Politics$34K traded120 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
95%Yes🧠 smart money
5%No

Smart money leans Yes: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 21 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$34K
traded all time
Held now
$11K
by 120 wallets
Smart share · Yes
94%
74 scored holders
Smart share · No
73%
46 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

94% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

Who holds it

120 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is QMG-CORE, with $3.6K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $94 on it, $63K lifetime profit over 1,068 markets (68% won).

Yes95%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share94% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 93%a day ago 91%now 94%
Holders
74
Money on it
$10K
Holders' win rate
70%
No5%
Smart money share73% ▼ 3 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 72%a day ago 75%now 73%
Holders
46
Money on it
$388
Holders' win rate
54%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$10K on it

  1. 1QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$3.6K+$57K lifetime
  2. 2D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$1.9K+$85K lifetime
  3. 3bernardbulletin75% won of 1,124 · whale$1.1K+$198K lifetime
  4. 4BuddhaYTorrance98% won of 87 · whale$1.1K+$61K lifetime
  5. 5Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$620+$298K lifetime

No$388 on it

  1. 1cowcat68% won of 1,068 · whale$94+$63K lifetime
  2. 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$41+$48K lifetime
  3. 3macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$37−$7.8K lifetime
  4. 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$37+$127K lifetime
  5. 50x9dd9…08bd16% won of 740 · noise$27+$36K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?"?

120 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is QMG-CORE, with $3.6K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $94 on it, $63K lifetime profit over 1,068 markets (68% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

94% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 21 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.