Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $13K by 113 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 85% 73 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 89¢ and No at 12¢, an 89% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
85% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
113 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheFOMCGambler, with $3.1K on it, $20K lifetime profit over 184 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $516 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3.1K on Yes.
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $12K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
- Snipers
- 1 · $3.1K
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $964
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$12K on it
- 1TheFOMCGambler74% won of 184 · sniper$3.1K+$20K lifetime
- 2TrangNgo84% won of 211 · balanced$3.0K+$22K lifetime
- 3lihpare82% won of 1,013 · whale$846+$5.0K lifetime
- 4zzzx281% won of 949 · whale$668+$20K lifetime
- 5Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$481+$173K lifetime
No$964 on it
- 1ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$516+$2.3M lifetime
- 2urhfrhchj12312346% won of 185 · noise$92+$18K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$75+$255K lifetime
- 4PK12347% won of 250$49−$1.9K lifetime
- 5coshi54% won of 107 · balanced$46+$4.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?"?
113 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 111 of them. The largest Yes holder is TheFOMCGambler, with $3.1K on it, $20K lifetime profit over 184 markets (74% won). The largest No holder is ImJustKen, with $516 on it, $2.3M lifetime profit over 1,080 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 89¢ and No at 12¢, an 89% implied chance of Yes. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
85% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.