Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $40K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.9K by 89 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 46% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 52 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
46% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.
Who holds it
89 wallets hold a position worth $9.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is fullamount, with $744 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 30 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is MillyFilly, with $1.2K on it, $112K lifetime profit over 330 markets (31% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $8.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.7K on it
- 1fullamount77% won of 30$744−$2.5K lifetime
- 2pieped59% won of 206 · whale$387+$15K lifetime
- 3D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$148+$85K lifetime
- 4JustinCas3100% won of 1$94+$469 lifetime
- 5RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$69+$9.4K lifetime
No$8.2K on it
- 1MillyFilly31% won of 330 · noise$1.2K+$112K lifetime
- 2trerira85% won of 186 · balanced$885+$5.4K lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,109$698−$433K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,296$591−$52K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$548+$127K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?"?
89 wallets hold a position worth $9.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 89 of them. The largest Yes holder is fullamount, with $744 on it, $2.5K lifetime loss over 30 markets (77% won). The largest No holder is MillyFilly, with $1.2K on it, $112K lifetime profit over 330 markets (31% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
46% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.