Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.7K by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 42 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $42 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $903 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $83
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $3.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 85%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$83 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$42+$48K lifetime
- 2ACara66% won of 370 · whale$15+$45K lifetime
- 3planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$4+$132K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,917 · noise$3+$28K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$2+$254K lifetime
No$3.6K on it
- 1MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$903+$38K lifetime
- 2chocolate12373% won of 269 · whale$827+$16K lifetime
- 3WeJustBettin87% won of 230$712−$1.4K lifetime
- 40x120b3E2E98fC4fe8C383C70867fD635669F1eE03-173049199943099% won of 129 · balanced$653+$12K lifetime
- 5trampec82% won of 238 · whale$267+$19K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Illinois Senate Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is SitsToPee, with $42 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is MrNoItAll, with $903 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 10 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.