Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 5 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.4K by 83 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
83 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is MrNoItAll, with $1.6K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $27 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $652 on Yes.
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $6.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
- Snipers
- 1 · $652
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $70
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.3K on it
- 1MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$1.6K+$38K lifetime
- 2WeJustBettin87% won of 230$1.6K−$1.4K lifetime
- 3TheFOMCGambler74% won of 184 · sniper$652+$20K lifetime
- 4immanuelcan78% won of 1,011 · whale$525+$39K lifetime
- 5QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$457+$57K lifetime
No$70 on it
- 1SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$27+$48K lifetime
- 2everybody2560% won of 5$6−$443 lifetime
- 3Jpegpeddler64% won of 200$5−$1.1K lifetime
- 4Bsau458% won of 396 · whale$5+$2.5K lifetime
- 50x171603454d394349e04cF7f78baf312a59EC2876-177878527777652% won of 205$4−$1.3K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Illinois Senate Election Winner
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?"?
83 wallets hold a position worth $6.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is MrNoItAll, with $1.6K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 514 markets (90% won). The largest No holder is SitsToPee, with $27 on it, $48K lifetime profit over 2,065 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 5 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 5 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.