Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 79 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.0K by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 16% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 95% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
16% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 79 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 79 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bobby001, with $146 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is QMG-CORE, with $2.5K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $245
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $5.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$245 on it
- 1Bobby001no record yet$146+$0 lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,325$38−$52K lifetime
- 3DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$26+$104K lifetime
- 4EdgeGarno record yet$15−$30 lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$10+$129K lifetime
No$5.7K on it
- 1QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$2.5K+$57K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$1.2K+$829K lifetime
- 3i2dt71% won of 356 · whale$787+$17K lifetime
- 4MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$337+$38K lifetime
- 5probability31% won of 3,349 · noise$222+$118K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Illinois Governor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bobby001, with $146 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is QMG-CORE, with $2.5K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
16% of the money on Yes and 95% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 79 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 79 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.