Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 63 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.8K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 35 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 33% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is QMG-CORE, with $2.1K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $15 on it, $53K lifetime loss over 49,325 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $6.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $33
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$6.7K on it
- 1QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$2.1K+$57K lifetime
- 2MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$1.9K+$38K lifetime
- 3DEGENKHAN74% won of 1,147 · whale$807+$104K lifetime
- 4probability31% won of 3,349 · noise$422+$118K lifetime
- 5bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$397+$198K lifetime
No$33 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,325$15−$53K lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$4+$129K lifetime
- 3cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$3+$72K lifetime
- 4peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,566 · whale$3+$33K lifetime
- 5Jpegpeddler64% won of 200$2−$1.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Illinois Governor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $6.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is QMG-CORE, with $2.1K on it, $57K lifetime profit over 1,224 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $15 on it, $53K lifetime loss over 49,325 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 98¢ and No at 2¢, a 98% implied chance of Yes. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 33% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 59 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.