Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $266K traded all time
- Held now
- $116K by 233 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 149 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 80 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $266K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
Who holds it
233 wallets hold a position worth $116K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 229 of them. The largest Yes holder is AnonymousUsername, with $34K on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,844 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is AngryRhino, with $574 on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $147 on Yes.
- Holders
- 152
- Money on it
- $113K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
- Snipers
- 1 · $147
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $3.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$113K on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,844 · whale$34K+$422K lifetime
- 2BuddhaYTorrance98% won of 87 · whale$26K+$61K lifetime
- 3SAPolitcsSeer92% won of 83 · whale$16K+$64K lifetime
- 4elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$14K+$2.1M lifetime
- 5studmuffin696958% won of 1,006 · whale$2.9K+$129K lifetime
No$3.3K on it
- 1AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$574+$25K lifetime
- 2operationcastle49% won of 1,005 · whale$339+$558K lifetime
- 3bernardbulletin75% won of 1,124 · whale$325+$198K lifetime
- 4overfatting53% won of 68 · balanced$314+$768 lifetime
- 5macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$299−$7.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Idaho Senate Election Winner
2 more- Todd Achilles (I)$145K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Democrat$27K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?"?
233 wallets hold a position worth $116K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 229 of them. The largest Yes holder is AnonymousUsername, with $34K on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,844 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is AngryRhino, with $574 on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $266K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 23 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.