Who's betting on “Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $145K traded all time
- Held now
- $49K by 108 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 67 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $145K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
Who holds it
108 wallets hold a position worth $49K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 107 of them. The largest Yes holder is AngryRhino, with $502 on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $24K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 68
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $45K
- Holders' win rate
- 79%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.7K on it
- 1AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$502+$25K lifetime
- 20x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310767% won of 1,992 · whale$437+$101K lifetime
- 30x4488…e31954% won of 1,232 · whale$425+$973K lifetime
- 4fanmt37% won of 200$293−$11K lifetime
- 5dips.47% won of 26,444 · whale$272+$11K lifetime
No$45K on it
- 1elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$24K+$2.1M lifetime
- 2AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,841 · whale$18K+$422K lifetime
- 3LR171% won of 216 · whale$479+$13K lifetime
- 4MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$392+$38K lifetime
- 5thisissocool1185% won of 534$314−$3.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?"?
108 wallets hold a position worth $49K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 107 of them. The largest Yes holder is AngryRhino, with $502 on it, $25K lifetime profit over 227 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is elmcap2, with $24K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,097 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $145K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.