Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $203K traded all time
- Held now
- $124K by 265 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 144 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 42% 117 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $203K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
Who holds it
265 wallets hold a position worth $124K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 261 of them. The largest Yes holder is burrito338, with $23K on it, $177K lifetime profit over 104 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is lastminwin, with $2.5K on it, $87K lifetime loss over 9 markets (56% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $27 on Yes.
- Holders
- 148
- Money on it
- $115K
- Holders' win rate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 1 · $27
- Holders
- 117
- Money on it
- $8.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$115K on it
- 1burrito33892% won of 104 · whale$23K+$177K lifetime
- 2inrock3053% won of 96$14K−$207K lifetime
- 3SAPolitcsSeer92% won of 83 · whale$11K+$64K lifetime
- 4SirHarryOakes81% won of 300 · whale$10K+$47K lifetime
- 5JishWa77% won of 228$7.3K−$68K lifetime
No$8.9K on it
- 1lastminwin56% won of 9$2.5K−$87K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,085$594−$431K lifetime
- 3PK12347% won of 246$531−$1.8K lifetime
- 4lug55% won of 1,241 · whale$453+$57K lifetime
- 5wan12379% won of 289 · whale$451+$1.2M lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Florida Senate Election Winner
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?"?
265 wallets hold a position worth $124K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 261 of them. The largest Yes holder is burrito338, with $23K on it, $177K lifetime profit over 104 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is lastminwin, with $2.5K on it, $87K lifetime loss over 9 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $203K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 42% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.