Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?”?

Politics$133K traded210 holdersEnds November 4, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
9%Yes
91%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 32 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$133K
traded all time
Held now
$57K
by 210 wallets
Smart share · Yes
41%
139 scored holders
Smart share · No
73%
70 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $133K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

The smart money

41% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.

Who holds it

210 wallets hold a position worth $57K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 209 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.0K on it, $431K lifetime loss over 12,103 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is JishWa, with $7.3K on it, $68K lifetime loss over 228 markets (77% won).

Yes9%
Smart money share41% ▼ 9 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 58%a day ago 50%now 41%
Holders
140
Money on it
$6.6K
Holders' win rate
56%
No91%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share73% ▲ 2 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 64%a day ago 71%now 73%
Holders
70
Money on it
$50K
Holders' win rate
73%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$6.6K on it

  1. 1Gaditima49% won of 12,103$1.0K−$431K lifetime
  2. 20x4E878897B3fB1e2c4C360D40Af96930DD1d80814-1766180425635no record yet$847+$0 lifetime
  3. 3cigarettes46% won of 49,080$706−$49K lifetime
  4. 4wan12379% won of 289 · whale$430+$1.2M lifetime
  5. 5purplegatto73% won of 3,487$277−$1.9M lifetime

No$50K on it

  1. 1JishWa77% won of 228$7.3K−$68K lifetime
  2. 2Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$6.8K+$173K lifetime
  3. 3Magician534287% won of 351 · grinder$6.5K+$1.8K lifetime
  4. 4TradeDeficitArchitect61% won of 1,009 · whale$5.8K+$189K lifetime
  5. 5Eatpraylove62% won of 1,052 · whale$4.6K+$519K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?"?

210 wallets hold a position worth $57K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 209 of them. The largest Yes holder is Gaditima, with $1.0K on it, $431K lifetime loss over 12,103 markets (49% won). The largest No holder is JishWa, with $7.3K on it, $68K lifetime loss over 228 markets (77% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $133K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

41% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 32 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.