Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $55K traded all time
- Held now
- $26K by 142 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 83 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 79% 57 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
Who holds it
142 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 140 of them. The largest Yes holder is AnonymousUsername, with $6.5K on it, $393K lifetime profit over 5,859 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is notssf3, with $292 on it, $73K lifetime profit over 218 markets (67% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.7K on Yes.
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $25K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1.7K
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $552
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$25K on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,859 · whale$6.5K+$393K lifetime
- 2elmcap286% won of 1,097 · whale$3.8K+$2.1M lifetime
- 3AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$2.1K+$25K lifetime
- 4ImJustKen65% won of 1,080 · whale$1.7K+$2.3M lifetime
- 5TheFOMCGambler74% won of 184 · sniper$1.7K+$20K lifetime
No$552 on it
- 1notssf367% won of 218 · whale$292+$73K lifetime
- 20xB773c09e893d82944D52D028e3502777A36aeCe7-177199158371250% won of 2$40+$7 lifetime
- 3RadioCCOD38% won of 208 · noise$33+$9.4K lifetime
- 4PK12347% won of 250$21−$1.9K lifetime
- 5cigarettes46% won of 49,296$20−$52K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Arkansas Senate Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?"?
142 wallets hold a position worth $26K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 140 of them. The largest Yes holder is AnonymousUsername, with $6.5K on it, $393K lifetime profit over 5,859 markets (70% won). The largest No holder is notssf3, with $292 on it, $73K lifetime profit over 218 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 49 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.