Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 78 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $48K traded all time
- Held now
- $21K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 18% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 36 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
18% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 78 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 78 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $910 on it, $87K lifetime loss over 9 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $14K on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,844 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $19K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.5K on it
- 1lastminwin56% won of 9$910−$87K lifetime
- 2fanmt37% won of 200$168−$11K lifetime
- 3BigRabbit36% won of 1,102 · noise$156+$127K lifetime
- 4Gaditima49% won of 12,107$78−$432K lifetime
- 5Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$52−$59K lifetime
No$19K on it
- 1AnonymousUsername70% won of 5,844 · whale$14K+$422K lifetime
- 20x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310767% won of 1,992 · whale$1.5K+$101K lifetime
- 3D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$974+$85K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,197$450−$49K lifetime
- 5Valen962% won of 900 · whale$375+$231K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Arkansas Senate Election Winner
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $21K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $910 on it, $87K lifetime loss over 9 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $14K on it, $422K lifetime profit over 5,844 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $48K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
18% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 78 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 78 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.