Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 48 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 60 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 25% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
25% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points.
Who holds it
60 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is denniswin, with $173 on it, $561 lifetime loss over 31 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $597 on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $478
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $991
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$478 on it
- 1denniswin45% won of 31$173−$561 lifetime
- 20x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$56+$127K lifetime
- 3NagashBeatz73% won of 15$41−$2.0K lifetime
- 4gmeowcl70% won of 64$35−$8.1K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$24+$255K lifetime
No$991 on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$597+$371K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,298$147−$52K lifetime
- 3FrankyFourFingers69% won of 264$95−$7.0K lifetime
- 4Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$79+$173K lifetime
- 5Podublin55% won of 136$20−$2.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?"?
60 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is denniswin, with $173 on it, $561 lifetime loss over 31 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $597 on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
25% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 51 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.