Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 42 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $32K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 102 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 58 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 49% 44 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
Who holds it
102 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is SAPolitcsSeer, with $3.8K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 83 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is gmeowcl, with $114 on it, $8.1K lifetime loss over 64 markets (70% won).
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $478
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$16K on it
- 1SAPolitcsSeer92% won of 83 · whale$3.8K+$64K lifetime
- 20xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$2.6K+$371K lifetime
- 3scottilicious83% won of 1,012 · whale$2.5K+$1.5M lifetime
- 4BuddhaYTorrance98% won of 87 · whale$2.3K+$61K lifetime
- 5mrworldwide70% won of 1,445 · whale$2.0K+$219K lifetime
No$478 on it
- 1gmeowcl70% won of 64$114−$8.1K lifetime
- 20x9e24bD0ebC6A423C43cf600E7bF1170A867B7e71-177563255369980% won of 1,156 · balanced$52+$1.7K lifetime
- 3Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$46−$377K lifetime
- 40x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$39+$127K lifetime
- 5SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$33+$203K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?"?
102 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 102 of them. The largest Yes holder is SAPolitcsSeer, with $3.8K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 83 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is gmeowcl, with $114 on it, $8.1K lifetime loss over 64 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 3, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 49% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 3, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.