Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $206K traded all time
- Held now
- $59K by 218 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 105 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 84% 113 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $206K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
Who holds it
218 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 218 of them. The largest Yes holder is HowBoutThemCowboys, with $4.1K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 18 markets (89% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $8.3K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 105
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 113
- Money on it
- $49K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10K on it
- 1HowBoutThemCowboys89% won of 18$4.1K+$75K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 48,950$1.6K−$50K lifetime
- 3Gaditima49% won of 12,083$910−$426K lifetime
- 4Snarfsnarfsnarf0% won of 1$754−$33K lifetime
- 5GUINESS12370% won of 547$484−$59K lifetime
No$49K on it
- 10xc8b9…b83664% won of 552 · whale$8.3K+$371K lifetime
- 2Contestable-Parfait61% won of 345 · whale$7.0K+$173K lifetime
- 3mrworldwide70% won of 1,445 · whale$3.3K+$219K lifetime
- 4Seutervoinen82% won of 525 · whale$3.0K+$127K lifetime
- 5Shady-Tool80% won of 578$3.0K−$34K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Arizona Governor Election Winner
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?"?
218 wallets hold a position worth $59K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 218 of them. The largest Yes holder is HowBoutThemCowboys, with $4.1K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 18 markets (89% won). The largest No holder is 0xc8b9…b836, with $8.3K on it, $371K lifetime profit over 552 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $206K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 84% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.