Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 50 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $227K traded all time
- Held now
- $116K by 261 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 167 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 38% 93 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $227K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 44 points.
Who holds it
261 wallets hold a position worth $116K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 260 of them. The largest Yes holder is SAPolitcsSeer, with $15K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 83 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $860 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,031 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 168
- Money on it
- $111K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $4.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$111K on it
- 1SAPolitcsSeer92% won of 83 · whale$15K+$64K lifetime
- 20xc5c3…2c66no record yet$11K
- 3danypotter100% won of 50 · balanced$10K+$22K lifetime
- 4AngryRhino78% won of 227 · whale$8.9K+$25K lifetime
- 5HilelTheElder86% won of 37 · balanced$7.3K+$4.3K lifetime
No$4.5K on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,031$860−$49K lifetime
- 2alpheclabs50% won of 15,285$399−$979K lifetime
- 3nextdayoff60% won of 5$366−$188 lifetime
- 4Gaditima49% won of 12,085$325−$431K lifetime
- 50x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-177584290310766% won of 1,988 · whale$298+$101K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?"?
261 wallets hold a position worth $116K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 260 of them. The largest Yes holder is SAPolitcsSeer, with $15K on it, $64K lifetime profit over 83 markets (92% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $860 on it, $49K lifetime loss over 49,031 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $227K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 50 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.