Who's betting on “Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $22K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 18 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 55% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 89¢ and No at 11¢, an 89% implied chance of Yes. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is TrangNgo, with $3.1K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 211 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is SmartBoyBilly, with $110 on it, $9.0K lifetime loss over 2,620 markets (58% won).
- Holders
- 18
- Money on it
- $5.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 80%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $387
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.2K on it
- 1TrangNgo84% won of 211 · balanced$3.1K+$22K lifetime
- 20xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$1.3K−$137 lifetime
- 3lineth67% won of 662 · whale$514+$91K lifetime
- 40xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-177236535023162% won of 250$129−$1.2K lifetime
- 5Ma-sk84% won of 50 · balanced$53+$107 lifetime
No$387 on it
- 1SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$110−$9.0K lifetime
- 2SitsToPee53% won of 2,065 · whale$99+$48K lifetime
- 3GayPride80% won of 674 · whale$55+$655K lifetime
- 4Dr.PNL30% won of 15,294$34−$485K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393843% won of 9,933 · whale$22+$129K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in WI-08 House Election Winner
1 moreOther big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 40 of them. The largest Yes holder is TrangNgo, with $3.1K on it, $22K lifetime profit over 211 markets (84% won). The largest No holder is SmartBoyBilly, with $110 on it, $9.0K lifetime loss over 2,620 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 89¢ and No at 11¢, an 89% implied chance of Yes. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 17 points. A week ago, Yes by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.